✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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