| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.51 | 40% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.31 | 26% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →