✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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