✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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