| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 283.7 | 35.3 | 15% | |
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 255.0 | 34.1 | 12% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 242.6 | 33.6 | 3% | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 228.5 | 37.2 | 26% | |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 218.9 | 33.9 | 7% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 207.2 | 29.6 | 11% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | 6% | |
| Gardner Minshew CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 188.0 | 19.5 | ||
| Andy Dalton ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 149.0 | 23.2 | 6% | |
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 139.9 | 22.8 | 12% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →