✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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