130 / 364 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.50 | 40% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.05 | 4% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET