✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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