✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sat Nov 7, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET
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