| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 283.7 | 35.3 | 15% | |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 251.5 | 33.5 | 9% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 241.1 | 32.9 | 7% | |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 218.9 | 33.9 | 7% | |
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 12% | |
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 211.0 | 23.4 | 6% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 207.7 | 31.4 | 32% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 207.5 | 30.9 | 10% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 202.4 | 31.9 | 14% | |
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 189.6 | 23.0 | 19% | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 13% | |
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 149.0 | 23.2 | 6% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 102.0 | 21.7 | 9% | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →