| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 6.5 | 3–10 | 9.0 | 37% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.8 | 25% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 5.7 | 3–9 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.6 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 27% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 41% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 11% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 4% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 12% |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →