| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 96.3 | 40–160 | 19.1 | 50% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 57.6 | 29–90 | 13.2 | 44% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 55.7 | 20–97 | 12.6 | 22% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 48.8 | 19–87 | 12.5 | 38% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 47.3 | 8–97 | 12.9 | 24% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 47.1 | 9–96 | 9.6 | 13% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 42.7 | 12–81 | 10.0 | 42% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 42.4 | 12–80 | 9.7 | 31% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 35.7 | 10–66 | 5.6 | 19% |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 33.0 | 9–61 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 28.9 | 9–53 | 7.2 | 31% |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 25.6 | 3–55 | 4.3 | 22% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 24.9 | 3–53 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 19.9 | 3–41 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 17.5 | 1–37 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 15.7 | 2–33 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 14.9 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 11% |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 14.8 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 14.1 | 0–34 | 4.0 | |
| Kyle McCord MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 13.1 | 0–30 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 13.1 | 1–28 | 3.4 | 12% |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 13.0 | 0–29 | 3.1 | 8% | |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 12.4 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 12% |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 12.2 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 11.7 | 0–31 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 11.1 | 0–25 | 2.6 | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.4 | 10% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 9.1 | 0–24 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.0 | 0–22 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 8.4 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 4% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 7.3 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.1 | |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 27% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 4.9 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 7% | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–13 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 3% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.5 | 0–11 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.7 | 4% | |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 1.6 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 37% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 4% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 27% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →