| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.70 | 50% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.56 | 43% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.53 | 41% | ||
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.45 | 37% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →