| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.78 | 54% | ||
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.77 | 54% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.71 | 51% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.54 | 42% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake Maye NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Behren Morton NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tommy DeVito NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →