83 legs
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Line ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | Model ⇅ | Mkt ⇅ | Over ⇅ | Under ⇅ | Side ⇅ | Edge ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs NYJ | WR | TEN vs NYJ | 1 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.103 | 0.486 | -108 | -122 | UNDER | +17.5% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs TB | RB | CIN vs TB | 1 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.183 | 0.490 | -108 | -118 | UNDER | +12.7% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.141 | 0.479 | 102 | -117 | UNDER | +8.7% |
| Colston Loveland CHI @ CAR | TE | CHI vs CAR | 1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.181 | 0.444 | 115 | -140 | UNDER | +8.4% |
| Luther Burden III CHI @ CAR | WR | CHI vs CAR | 2 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.110 | 0.467 | 108 | -122 | UNDER | +8.4% |
| Parker Washington JAX vs CLE | WR | JAX vs CLE | 2 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.196 | 0.430 | 120 | -152 | UNDER | +8.3% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs MIA | TE | LV vs MIA | 1 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 0.329 | 0.538 | -136 | 102 | UNDER | +8.2% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ JAX | WR | CLE vs JAX | 2 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.110 | 0.412 | 134 | -156 | UNDER | +7.8% |
| Jayden Reed GB @ MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.268 | 0.464 | 104 | -130 | UNDER | +6.4% |
| Brenton Strange JAX vs CLE | TE | JAX vs CLE | 1 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 0.292 | 0.471 | 100 | -128 | UNDER | +6.1% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.272 | 0.462 | 106 | -130 | UNDER | +5.6% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.314 | 0.515 | -116 | -102 | UNDER | +5.5% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 0.693 | 0.404 | 145 | -152 | OVER | +5.3% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs TB | WR | CIN vs TB | 2 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.352 | 0.553 | -135 | 115 | UNDER | +5.3% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 0.402 | 0.559 | -143 | 115 | UNDER | +4.9% |
| Ladd McConkey LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 1 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 0.316 | 0.480 | -102 | -121 | UNDER | +4.7% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 1 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 0.271 | 0.441 | 117 | -140 | UNDER | +4.1% |
| Denzel Boston CLE @ JAX | WR | CLE vs JAX | 3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.256 | 0.410 | 131 | -166 | UNDER | +4.1% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ LA | WR | SF vs LA | 2 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 0.767 | 0.579 | -150 | 129 | OVER | +4.1% |
| Christian Watson GB @ MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.446 | 0.583 | -159 | 128 | UNDER | +4.0% |
| George Pickens DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 2 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 0.275 | 0.421 | 124 | -159 | UNDER | +4.0% |
| Mark Andrews BAL @ IND | TE | BAL vs IND | 1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.274 | 0.435 | 120 | -144 | UNDER | +3.8% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.451 | 0.583 | -158 | 128 | UNDER | +3.7% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ TEN | WR | NYJ vs TEN | 1 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 0.339 | 0.490 | -105 | -114 | UNDER | +3.6% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs DAL | WR | NYG vs DAL | 1 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.303 | 0.437 | 116 | -148 | UNDER | +3.4% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NO | RB | DET vs NO | 1 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.264 | 0.444 | 124 | -127 | UNDER | +3.3% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs CHI | WR | CAR vs CHI | 1 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.326 | 0.524 | -114 | 107 | UNDER | +3.2% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs MIA | WR | LV vs MIA | 1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.366 | 0.486 | -108 | -122 | UNDER | +3.0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs TB | WR | CIN vs TB | 1 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 0.303 | 0.444 | 116 | -138 | UNDER | +2.9% |
| Jakobi Meyers CHART JAX vs CLE | WR | JAX vs CLE | 3 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.651 | 0.512 | -114 | -103 | OVER | +2.9% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. CHART JAX vs CLE | WR | JAX vs CLE | 1 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 0.733 | 0.594 | -164 | 136 | OVER | +2.8% |
| Michael Pittman PIT vs ATL | WR | PIT vs ATL | 2 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 0.368 | 0.483 | -105 | -121 | UNDER | +2.8% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs DEN | WR | KC vs DEN | 1 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 0.407 | 0.520 | -122 | -103 | UNDER | +2.7% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs WAS | WR | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 0.306 | 0.450 | 115 | -132 | UNDER | +2.6% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ HOU | WR | BUF vs HOU | 1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.352 | 0.491 | 102 | -105 | UNDER | +2.4% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ LA | RB | SF vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 0.569 | 0.463 | 105 | -130 | OVER | +2.4% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs WAS | TE | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.590 | 0.475 | 102 | -121 | OVER | +2.3% |
| Trey McBride ARI @ LAC | TE | ARI vs LAC | 1 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 0.526 | 0.433 | 118 | -151 | OVER | +2.2% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs NE | TE | SEA vs NE | 1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.452 | 0.556 | -139 | 115 | UNDER | +2.2% |
| Nico Collins HOU vs BUF | WR | HOU vs BUF | 1 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 0.332 | 0.448 | 114 | -136 | UNDER | +2.0% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 2 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 0.665 | 0.555 | -137 | 116 | OVER | +1.7% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ JAX | TE | CLE vs JAX | 1 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.357 | 0.456 | 109 | -133 | UNDER | +1.5% |
| Zay Flowers BAL @ IND | WR | BAL vs IND | 1 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 0.633 | 0.525 | -118 | 104 | OVER | +1.5% |
| Courtland Sutton CHART DEN @ KC | WR | DEN vs KC | 1 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.329 | 0.416 | 125 | -166 | UNDER | +0.8% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL @ PIT | RB | ATL vs PIT | 1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.536 | 0.482 | 106 | -109 | OVER | +0.7% |
| Romeo Doubs NE @ SEA | WR | NE vs SEA | 2 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.498 | 0.435 | 123 | -140 | OVER | +0.5% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.346 | 0.422 | 128 | -151 | UNDER | +0.4% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ HOU | TE | BUF vs HOU | 1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.358 | 0.427 | 130 | -140 | UNDER | +0.3% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ SEA | RB | NE vs SEA | 2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.583 | 0.516 | -112 | 102 | OVER | +0.3% |
| Rome Odunze CHI @ CAR | WR | CHI vs CAR | 1 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.384 | 0.453 | 116 | -127 | UNDER | +0.3% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs DEN | WR | KC vs DEN | 2 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.354 | 0.426 | 123 | -153 | UNDER | +0.3% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ SEA | WR | NE vs SEA | 3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.563 | 0.599 | -157 | 145 | UNDER | -0.0% |
| Saquon Barkley PHI vs WAS | RB | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.411 | 0.469 | 105 | -123 | UNDER | -0.0% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ SEA | RB | NE vs SEA | 1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.433 | 0.466 | 112 | -118 | UNDER | -0.0% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CIN | WR | TB vs CIN | 1 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 0.371 | 0.430 | 125 | -143 | UNDER | -0.1% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs NE | WR | SEA vs NE | 2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.492 | 0.463 | 113 | -120 | OVER | -0.1% |
| Juwan Johnson NO @ DET | TE | NO vs DET | 1 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.360 | 0.423 | 125 | -154 | UNDER | -0.1% |
| Puka Nacua LA vs SF | WR | LA vs SF | 1 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.390 | 0.443 | 120 | -134 | UNDER | -0.2% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ HOU | WR | BUF vs HOU | 2 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 0.402 | 0.387 | 155 | -164 | OVER | -0.2% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 0.410 | 0.454 | 116 | -126 | UNDER | -0.2% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 2 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.537 | 0.494 | -103 | -108 | OVER | -0.2% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ JAX | WR | CLE vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.657 | 0.597 | -164 | 138 | OVER | -0.2% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs NE | WR | SEA vs NE | 3 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.324 | 0.391 | 140 | -185 | UNDER | -0.3% |
| DK Metcalf PIT vs ATL | WR | PIT vs ATL | 1 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.514 | 0.549 | -130 | 115 | UNDER | -0.4% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NO | WR | DET vs NO | 2 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.356 | 0.416 | 127 | -162 | UNDER | -0.4% |
| De'Von Achane MIA @ LV | RB | MIA vs LV | 1 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 0.403 | 0.462 | 102 | -136 | UNDER | -0.6% |
| Breece Hall NYJ @ TEN | RB | NYJ vs TEN | 1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.419 | 0.383 | 144 | -194 | OVER | -0.7% |
| Drake London ATL @ PIT | WR | ATL vs PIT | 1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.471 | 0.504 | -110 | -106 | UNDER | -0.8% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.492 | 0.485 | 102 | -111 | OVER | -0.9% |
| Chris Olave NO @ DET | WR | NO vs DET | 1 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 0.494 | 0.462 | 106 | -130 | OVER | -0.9% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ SEA | TE | NE vs SEA | 1 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.430 | 0.408 | 134 | -164 | OVER | -1.0% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs NE | WR | SEA vs NE | 1 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 0.500 | 0.476 | 102 | -120 | OVER | -1.1% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs DEN | TE | KC vs DEN | 1 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.592 | 0.567 | -141 | 124 | OVER | -1.1% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL @ PIT | TE | ATL vs PIT | 1 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.396 | 0.430 | 123 | -146 | UNDER | -1.1% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs DEN | RB | KC vs DEN | 1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.414 | 0.441 | 117 | -140 | UNDER | -1.4% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NO | TE | DET vs NO | 1 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 0.406 | 0.420 | 130 | -151 | UNDER | -1.7% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ KC | WR | DEN vs KC | 2 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 0.491 | 0.487 | -102 | -114 | OVER | -1.7% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NO | WR | DET vs NO | 1 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.477 | 0.501 | -113 | -112 | UNDER | -1.7% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ SEA | WR | NE vs SEA | 1 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.438 | 0.423 | 122 | -159 | OVER | -1.9% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs BAL | RB | IND vs BAL | 1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.430 | 0.465 | 100 | -135 | UNDER | -2.0% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 1 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 0.415 | 0.423 | 125 | -154 | OVER | -2.5% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU vs BUF | TE | HOU vs BUF | 1 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.538 | 0.537 | -130 | 105 | UNDER | -2.5% |
| Mike Evans SF @ LA | WR | SF vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.350 | 0.356 | 160 | -230 | OVER | -3.2% |
Cold start. No player has in-season usage yet, so the volume model is running on last year and the depth chart, and the touchdown model uses a sharper concentration for that reason. The longshot section of the nasty board turns itself off this week: graded on 2024 and 2025 it loses in week 1 and makes money from week 2 on. Legs marked CHART are ones where the posted depth chart and the model disagree about who starts — in week 1 of 2026 the chart was right and the model was wrong every time.
Reading the columns. Proj is the model's projected value and Line is what is posted. Model and Mkt are the two probabilities of the over — the model's, and the market's after the vig is removed. Edge is the better of the two sides after vig, so a blank edge means no side clears it. Dep is the player's rank at his own position on the posted depth chart.
Projections only. Nothing here is advice, and prices move.